Free PDF BookThe Cunning of Uncertainty

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[Free Download.4LsG] The Cunning of Uncertainty

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Uncertainty is interwoven into human existence. It is a powerful incentive in the search for knowledge and an inherent component of scientific research. We have developed many ways of coping with uncertainty. We make promises, manage risks and make predictions to try to clear the mists and predict ahead. But the future is inherently uncertain - and the mist that shrouds our path an inherent part of our journey. The burning question is whether our societies can face up to uncertainty, learn to embrace it and whether we can open up to a constantly evolving future.In this new book, Helga Nowotny shows how research can thrive at the cusp of uncertainty.  Science, she argues, can eventually transform uncertainty into certainty, but into certainty which remains always provisional.Uncertainty is never completely static.  It is constantly evolving. It encompasses geological time scales and, at the level of human experience, split-second changes as cells divide. Life and death decisions are taken in the blink of the eye, while human interactions with the natural environment may reveal their impact over millennia.Uncertainty is cunning. It appears at unexpected moments, it shuns the straight line, takes the oblique route and sometimes the unexpected short-cut. As we acknowledge the cunning of uncertainty, its threats retreat. We accept that any scientific inquiry must produce results that are provisional and uncertain. This message is vital for politicians and policy-makers: do not be tempted by small, short-term, controllable gains to the exclusion of uncertain, high-gain opportunities.Wide-ranging in its use of examples and enriched by the author’s experience as President of the European Research Council, one of the world’s leading funding organisations for fundamental research. The Cunning of Uncertainty is a must-read for students and scholars of all disciplines, politicians, policy-makers and anyone concerned with the fundamental role of knowledge and science in our societies today. The Answer Man - The New Yorker The Answer Man An ancient poem was rediscoveredand the world swerved. This Could Be Our 1989 Thoughts from the Frontline ... Like what youre reading? Subscribe now and receive the full version of John Mauldin's Thoughts from the Frontline delivered to your inbox each week. Prudence - Wikipedia Prudence was considered by the ancient Greeks and later on by Christian philosophers most notably Thomas Aquinas as the cause measure and form of all virtues. George Soros: Trump Is a 'Would-Be Dictator' Who 'Is Going ... Soros said Ive described him as an imposter and con man and would-be dictator but he is only a would-be dictator. The Constitution and institutions of the ... Anchoring - Wikipedia Anchoring or focalism is a cognitive bias that describes the common human tendency to rely too heavily on the first piece of information offered (the "anchor") when ... XXV. Fear and Anxiety. Sigmund Freud. 1920. A General ... XXV. Fear and Anxiety. Part Three: General Theory of the Neuroses. Sigmund Freud. 1920. A General Introduction to Psychoanalysis Stephen Greenblatt on Shakespeare's debt to Montaigne ... Stephen Greenblatt on Shakespeare's debt to Montaigne One wrote essays to be read in private the younger wrote plays for the public; both turned ... Good Luck Everyone - Blackadder - BBC - YouTube Baldrick's cunning plan will have to wait as Blackadder and his troops go over the top in a poignant and powerful finale to the series. Subscribe to Comedy ... "Cunning Passages Contrived Corridors": Wandering in the ... Cunning Passages Contrived Corridors: Wandering in the Angletonian Wilderness. David Robarge Angleton was CIAs answer to the Delphic Oracle ... 10 Ways Manipulators Use Emotional Intelligence for Evil ... Emotional intelligence is nothing new. Sure the term was coined in the 1960s and popularized by psychologists in recent decades. But the concept of ...
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